Maize harvest forecast to drop 27% in 2018

SOUTH AFRICA – Farmers are likely to harvest a smaller maize crop in 2018, thanks to lower grain prices that came as a result of a bumper harvest in 2017.

In its first production estimate report for 2018, the crop estimates committee said on Tuesday that producers would harvest about 12.2-million tonnes of maize in 2018, which represents a 27% decrease from the season just passed.

The area planted with maize also dropped 12.4% to 2.3-million hectares, according to preliminary estimates.

In 2017, farmers harvested a record 16.8-million tonnes, an outcome that helped drive food prices significantly lower, helped by a much stronger rand.

Food inflation moderated to an annual rate of 4.6% in January, from 4.9% in the December, reflecting lower grain prices.

The production estimate for sunflower is likely to drop 16.3% to 731,505 tonnes, while that of soybean will increase 4.5% to 1.37-million tonnes.

Meanwhile, the expected commercial production of wheat for 2017 was finalised at 1.5-million tonnes, which was 3.34% more than the previous estimate.

Business Day

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