Ukraine’s poultry production to hit 1.7 million tonnes by 2033 – Kyiv School of Economics

The industry has seen growth in domestic consumption and export value despite wartime losses.

UKRAINE – Poultry and egg production in Ukraine is projected to grow steadily over the next decade, even as the country grapples with ongoing conflict and economic uncertainty.

A new report from the Kyiv School of Economics (KSE) estimates that poultry output will rise by 28% to reach 1.7 million tonnes by 2033 compared to 2023 levels.

This growth outlook is attributed to factors such as strong profit margins, changes in consumer demand, and cost-effective operations among large poultry firms.

Large producers, in particular, have managed to remain competitive by maintaining integrated supply chains, including in-house feed production that reduces operational expenses.

In tandem with production, domestic consumption of poultry meat is also expected to rise, with per capita intake predicted to hit 32.3 kilograms annually by 2033—up from 27.9 kilograms in 2023.

As a result, poultry is likely to become the most consumed protein source in Ukraine, gradually replacing beef in many households.

War damage and recovery hurdles

Still, the sector continues to face major setbacks, especially due to damages sustained during the ongoing war, which has significantly impacted agricultural infrastructure.

Estimates indicate that the total value of destroyed assets in Ukraine’s agriculture sector stands at around US$10.3 billion, with large-scale egg production facilities in the southern regions being among the hardest hit.

This destruction has prevented egg production and consumption from returning to pre-war levels, though forecasts suggest that recovery is underway.

KSE projects a 31% increase in egg production by 2033, bringing total output to 855,000 tonnes.

Export markets driving future growth

While domestic demand supports part of the growth, international markets are playing an increasingly important role in sustaining the industry.

In 2024, Ukraine’s poultry exports recorded a 20.4% rise in value, reaching US$962.7 million, driven by strong demand from countries like the Netherlands, Saudi Arabia, and Slovakia.

Egg exports also surged, with volumes increasing by 59.4% and value by 22.5% compared to the previous year.

Looking forward, producers are expected to continue investing in efficient technologies and production models to maintain competitiveness both at home and abroad.

Although inflation and reduced consumer spending pose risks to domestic growth, expanding access to foreign markets is offering a critical path for long-term industry development.

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