USDA forecasts another growth year for Kenya’s avocado exports in 2025

KENYA – The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has projected another strong year for Kenya’s avocado industry in 2025, marking the seventh consecutive increase in export volumes.

According to the department, Kenya will export 135,000 tons of avocados in 2025, reflecting a 6.3% increase from the previous year.

This continuous growth highlights the expanding role of the country as Africa’s top producer and exporter of the fruit. Additionally, export revenues are expected to climb by 11% to reach $175 million, sustaining a pattern of revenue growth seen since 2022.

According to the USDA, multiple factors have contributed to this expansion. “This growth is mainly attributed to higher production levels, favored by favorable weather conditions, the expansion of growing areas and growing global demand, especially in the European and Middle Eastern markets,” the report states.

Kenya’s total avocado harvest is projected to grow by 4% year-on-year to 585,000 tons. This increase is largely due to new plantations in regions where avocado farming had not previously been widespread.

With production expanding into non-traditional areas, the country is well-positioned to meet rising global demand.

Kenyan avocados continue to be highly sought after in international markets. In 2024, the Netherlands accounted for the largest share of exports, purchasing 32% of the total supply.

The United Arab Emirates followed with 16%, while Spain, France, and Germany accounted for 13%, 11%, and 7%, respectively. Beyond these traditional markets, demand is also rising in China and Iraq, offering new opportunities for Kenyan farmers and exporters.

Overcoming logistical challenges

At Fruit Logistica 2025 in Berlin, Kenya’s fresh produce sector demonstrated resilience despite disruptions in shipping routes caused by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

Kakuzi Plc Managing Director Chris Flowers reassured buyers that efforts were underway to address these disruptions. “Kenya is working hard to ensure timely and quality produce reaches the European market,” he stated.

Industry stakeholders, including producers, exporters, shipping firms, and government agencies, are collaborating to minimize delays.

Alternative routes are being developed, including shipping through Oman to reach European buyers more efficiently.

Fresh Produce Consortium of Kenya CEO Okisegere Ojepat also emphasized the determination of local farmers and exporters. He highlighted the ongoing efforts to ensure the sector remains stable despite logistical obstacles.

With steady production and expanding international demand, Kenya’s avocado industry looks set to maintain its upward trajectory in 2025, further strengthening its position in the global market.

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